AL Central: Belcher making impact on Tribe's pitching staff

Baseball Betting Lines

04/30/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cleveland Indians' first-year pitching coach Tim Belcher has been around the block.

A 14-year pitcher in the big leagues, Belcher's 2,442 career innings are the most of any active pitching coach in Major League Baseball. And although this is Belcher's first year as Cleveland's pitching coach, he has spent the last eight years in the organization as a Special Assistant to Baseball Operations.

With all of the roster turnover during the past two seasons, Cleveland's average age is now only 27 years old. While the lineup continues to be a work in progress, the pitching staff will have to shoulder much of the load.

That's where Belcher comes in. As a pitcher for the Dodgers, he compiled seven seasons of 200+ innings pitched, even leading the National League with 10 complete games in 1989. Under his tutelage, Cleveland's starters rank fifth in the American League with a combined 3.98 ERA. That has helped to atone for an offense that ranks 12th in the AL with a .238 team batting average.

Angels' manager Mike Scioscia recently said of his former Los Angeles Dodgers teammate, "I think (Belcher) can help pitchers get through a pitch count barrier and be more efficient with their pitches."

That has certainly rubbed off on 26-year-old rookie Mitch Talbot, who has allowed just two earned runs (0.84) over his last three starts, a span of 21 1/3 innings. His 2.05 ERA is bound to climb at some point, particularly for a pitcher who has fanned only seven batters through four starts. But Belcher points to the youngster's wide array of pitches -- which includes a sinker, cutter, changeup and slider -- as the main reason Talbot has been able to keep hitters off balance.

"He's been good about staying with what's working and knowing what the game plan calls for," Belcher told the team's website. "He's not one of those guys that thinks he has to throw every pitch to every hitter."

Meanwhile, Fausto Carmona has spent the last few seasons trying to rediscover his form of 2007, when he burst onto the scene with 19 wins. Now, a more confident and mechanically sound Carmona brings a 2.96 ERA into tonight's start against the Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field, in which he'll try to improve to 4-0.

Carmona credits an adjustment to the first-base side of the mound, which he tried during the Dominican Winter League, as a big reason for his early-season success. He's also been relying on his slider a lot more and his changeup a lot less.

"Pitching on the right-hand side of the rubber did not help him at all," manager Manny Acta said. "He was pitching everybody the same way, sinking it in to righties and away to lefties. He had success with it in 2007, but the league adjusted to him."

Elsewhere in the rotation, Justin Masterson is 0-3 with a 5.68 ERA thus far. However, he does have a team-high 24 strikeouts through 19 innings. On Wednesday against the Angels, starter Jake Westbrook was cruising along through five innings, aiming for his first win in two years after Tommy John surgery sidetracked his career. But he allowed a game-tying three-run homer to Torii Hunter in the sixth inning, and the Angels went on to win.

Losing steam in the middle innings has been a problem for Westbrook so far this season, though he isn't blaming his physical condition.

"I'm tired of being part of the problem," Westbrook said. "I feel good about where I am. I'm just not getting the job done. Hopefully I can find a way to put up zeroes when we need them."

ROYALS BACK IN FAMILIAR TERRITORY

Having lost three straight, the Kansas City Royals (8-14) are back in the basement of the AL Central standings, six games back of division-leading Minnesota. Last night, they kicked off an 11-game road trip in Tampa with an 11-1 loss to the Rays, who have now won 14 of their last 16.

So much for a fresh start.

But while the wins and losses -- and the impending road swing -- don't inspire a whole lot of confidence, there is reason for optimism. Consider, even with last night's ugly loss, the Royals still lead the American League with a .302 team batting average on the road. The catalyst has been Scott Podsednik, who leads all AL hitters with a .484 (15-for-31) average in road games. However, it's now up to the pitching staff to hold up their end of the deal.

Starting pitcher Luke Hochevar entered Thursday's tilt with an unblemished record, but he left with a black eye. All told, he allowed 11 hits and a career-high nine earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings against the red-hot Rays.

At the moment, Zack Greinke is the only sure thing on the starting rotation, though he has only an 0-2 record to show for his 2.56 ERA. With three more games on tap in Tampa, followed by two series against the Chicago White Sox and Texas Rangers, Kansas City will need some other guys to step up. If not, things could turn real ugly by mid-May.

TWINS' PITCHING LOOKING TO STAY SHARP

Minnesota finally lost its first series of the season this week, dropping two of three at Detroit. Still, entering tonight's series opener with Cleveland, the Twins (14-8) have allowed the fourth-fewest runs in the American League. And now they'll be facing the Indians, who have struggled mightily at the plate thus far.

They'll be doing so without Nick Blackburn (1-1, 6.85), who was due to start tonight but went home for family reasons. Manager Ron Gardenhire will now give the ball to Kevin Slowey (2-2, 3.42), who will be starting on regular rest. Given how things have gone for those two, the switch would appear to be a good thing. The resurgent Francisco Liriano (3-0, 0.93) is slated to pitch Sunday's series finale, while Saturday's starter has not yet been announced.

The Twins will also welcome offensive stalwarts Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau back to the lineup tonight, as both had the day off in Thursday's 3-0 loss to the Detroit Tigers. It marked the first time since May 2006 that both Mauer and Morneau were given the same day off. Considering the outcome, don't expect it to happen again anytime soon.

NOBODY HAS BEEN ABLE TO COOL TIGERS' CABRERA

As the Detroit Tigers prepare for one of Major League Baseball's most notorious road teams in the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, they'll once again look to Miguel Cabrera to ignite the offense.

Entering tonight's series opener, Cabrera leads the majors with 25 RBI and ranks second with 10 doubles. Despite going hitless on Wednesday and Thursday, he is still batting .330 while boasting a .419 on-base percentage.

Without question, he has been one of the main reasons why Detroit (13-10) is within 1 1/2 games of the division-leading Twins. Earlier this week, Cabrera hit a go-ahead homer in the top of the ninth inning to help the Tigers knock off Texas, 8-6.

At the very least, his hot start has cooled offseason concerns around the Motor City, which stemmed from his alcohol-related domestic violence arrest on the eve of last season's one-game playoff with the Twins for the AL's final playoff spot. Considering his $20 million price tag for this season, Cabrera would've been under a great deal of pressure had he gotten off to a poor start.

QUESTIONS AT THE TOP FOR GUILLEN, WHITE SOX

When your leadoff man is hitting .200 and the team is 9-13, changes are bound to be made.

Chicago White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen will do just that, after watching newly-acquired leadoff man Juan Pierre go 1-for-16 over the last four games .

"He ain't playing (Friday night)," Guillen told the Chicago Tribune after an 0-for-5 night from Pierre on Thursday. "I don't know if he's putting a lot of pressure on himself or trying to do too much, but I'll try and give him a breather."

Guillen added that he'd consider moving Pierre to either the No. 9 spot of the No. 2 spot in the lineup. That of course leaves the question, who bats first?

The primary options -- at least right now -- are Omar Vizquel, Gordon Beckham or Mark Teahen. But each comes with his own question marks. Vizquel is 43. Guillen indicated he prefers Beckham lower in the lineup to drive in runs. Teahen ranks third on the team with a .379 on-base percentage, but he doesn't have a ton of speed and seems to feel most comfortable batting fifth.

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College Football Betting Tips From a Pro

While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.

Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.

The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.

What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.

These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.

College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.

Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.

Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.

Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.

I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.

Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.

It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.

As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.

Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NCAA college football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.

Barry Bonds Watch: Giants Slugger Says He'll Be Back

With only 21 home runs standing between him and Hank Aaron, Barry Bonds is indeed planning on coming back for more in 2007. At least, that's what his agent told the Los Angeles Times.

"Barry's going to play in 2007," Jeff Borris of Beverly Hills Sports Council told the Times on Tuesday. "I've had many discussions with Barry and he's going to play. My intentions are to see to it he's in a big-league uniform next season. Those are my marching orders."

Contract negotiations could get started as early as next week. Let's see which team has the deeper pockets. Will MLB baseball betting lines despite allegations of steroid use? Bet On It at www.MySportsbook.com .

Get all your baseball betting lines, MLB lines and MLB team props at the My Sportbook.

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